MEPX
Chapter 7 of 10All chapters

Chapter 7 of 10

Aggregation effects

Where averages hide reversals.

Simpson's paradox

A trend present in every subgroup can reverse when the groups are combined, usually because the groups differ in size and baseline. Both charts are accurate.

  • Always ask whether the total hides opposing patterns.
  • Breaking data down by an obvious grouping is the first check.

Choosing bins

Histogram bin width and map colour breaks change the shape and the message. Trying several is honest; presenting only the flattering one is not.