Chapter 7 of 10All chapters
Chapter 7 of 10
Aggregation effects
Where averages hide reversals.
Simpson's paradox
A trend present in every subgroup can reverse when the groups are combined, usually because the groups differ in size and baseline. Both charts are accurate.
- Always ask whether the total hides opposing patterns.
- Breaking data down by an obvious grouping is the first check.
Choosing bins
Histogram bin width and map colour breaks change the shape and the message. Trying several is honest; presenting only the flattering one is not.