MEPX
Chapter 2 of 10All chapters

Chapter 2 of 10

Cherry-picked ranges

Choosing where the story starts.

Start and end dates

Any long series contains sub-periods that rise, fall or flatten. Selecting one is the easiest way to support a predetermined claim without lying.

  • Ask what the longest available series looks like.
  • Unusual start dates, such as a known peak or trough, are a warning sign.

Missing context

A single period without comparison is uninterpretable. A benchmark, a previous period or a control group is what turns a number into evidence.